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Shael
Location: Witherbee, NY. Gender: Female Total Likes: 7 likes
Baaaaah.
| | | Re: GM & Chrysler MERGER??? < Reply # 5 on 10/12/2008 7:51 PM > | Reply with Quote
| | | You do realize what will happen if it becomes a merger, don't you? GM being the "bigger" of the two, will hack and slash and suck up any and all possible profit from Chrysler, then on top of it, there will be absolutely nothing recognizable of Chrysler left in the new "corporation". The deal will include huge selloffs of Chrysler assets, then, possibly closure of GM assets because of redundancy. We're going through something similar right now with where Sam and I work. IP just bought Weyerhauser's industrial packaging and corrugated factories. Now, IP is closing IP plants, three of them so far, because of the fact that these plants are much better tooled and much more capable of producing the same things that IP's 3 plants could. If it happens, we won't see anything even close to a Chrysler product come off of GM's assembly lines. Or vice versa. It'll be a hack and slash merger with GM eating Chrysler alive. The only reason GM won't buy Chrysler is that right now, they have a value of like zero. GM stock was down to like 5 or 10 bucks a share, from a once 40 or 50 dollar per share price. Also, Chrysler probably has a debt bigger than the GNP of England. So...GM not wanting to take the debt, will merge with them, then let the creditors devour Chrysler, and GM will swoop in and pick up the pieces and do what I said above. Selling off the assets and trying to turn it into a profit for them. What's even more interesting is that Chrysler stock is listed as Saturn DaimlerChrysler. Share price of about 12 dollars, GM is down to around 4.89. Shael
[last edit 10/12/2008 8:09 PM by Shael - edited 3 times]
| "The best wine lies at the bottom of the pail/And Happiness lies below the navel." - Drukpa Kunley, "The Divine Madman of the Dragon Lineage" and "Saint of 5,000 Women". |
| Shael
Location: Witherbee, NY. Gender: Female Total Likes: 7 likes
Baaaaah.
| | | Re: GM & Chrysler MERGER??? < Reply # 10 on 10/13/2008 4:44 AM > | Reply with Quote
| | | Well, it's all talk for now anyway. Mainly because Cerberus is looking to unload Chrysler. From what I'm reading anyway. They're carrying at least a 518 million dollar debt from losses this year and 1.8 billion from last year. GM is carrying something like 57.5 billion in debt from losses and tax screwups from last year and burning through 1 billion in cash a month just to keep operating. Analysts are figuring they'll reach their minimum capital operating balance of 15 billion sometime next year. If they go below that, it's the end of GM as we know it. So they're scrambling to do something. The deal would be that a finance company named Cerberus would take over GM's controlling interest in GMAC and trade Chrysler for it. It's not exactly owned by Daimler, controlling interest is owned by Cerberus, who also owns a good sized portion of GM, obtained in deals over GMAC which is getting close to failing because of the mortgage crisis. Daimler only owns Chrysler in name only, Cerberus actually owns them. Cerberus wants GMAC because of the government payouts for bad mortgages, they stand to make a killing on the payoffs of those if they take over the other 40 some percent of GMAC. GM needs the cash, so they'll take Chrysler in trade, then GM would cut costs and try to save what they could by raiding Chrysler's credit. Since they don't owe half of what GM does and can still get credit. GM is running on a cash only basis for now. This is just from what I'm reading. It looks like they're liquidating assets just to keep running. But on top of this, GM needs cash to even finance the merger, which they don't have and can't get any time soon, unless the stock price rises or they find some really stupid creditor to loan them the money. I honestly don't see it happening, unless someone at GM smartens up. If they raid Chrysler's credit, then that's the end of Chrysler, other than it being a name that GM uses to market their products under. Right now, GM's goal is to be the last of the big three standing when car sales come back, that's what they're trying to do. It wouldn't surprise me if they figure out something to get this deal to work and work out something with Ford as well. GM is looking to snap up whatever they can, however they can, but I don't expect them to get far, they just don't have the money available and won't have it for a while, unless by some miracle things turn around in the next few days or couple weeks. About the only thing I can actually say and it's something I'm planning on doing soon is...get a few shares of GM. If they get deals to work, they will be the last company standing. Right now, it's at 5 bucks a share, dirt cheap and you're not losing much, so just in case, pick up a hundred shares, it won't hurt. Right now, the stock's not worth crap, but if they make it work...it'll be back up to 50 bucks a share in no time. Shael
[last edit 10/13/2008 5:07 AM by Shael - edited 4 times]
| "The best wine lies at the bottom of the pail/And Happiness lies below the navel." - Drukpa Kunley, "The Divine Madman of the Dragon Lineage" and "Saint of 5,000 Women". |
| Shael
Location: Witherbee, NY. Gender: Female Total Likes: 7 likes
Baaaaah.
| | | Re: GM & Chrysler MERGER??? < Reply # 19 on 10/18/2008 11:43 AM > | Reply with Quote
| | | Honestly, I don't think it's the end of any of them. There will be at least one standing. One of them will figure out how to come out ahead of the others and absorb the other two, marketing products under the names they manage to buy out or merge with. Detroit's not dead yet, they made it through the Great Depression, World War II, the oil embargo and fuel rationing of Carter's administration...I think they'll survive this, if not in one form, it'll be in another. Who knows, maybe one of the foreign companies will swoop in and take over controlling interest. GM is solvent until probably June of next year. There's still some time for them, and I haven't been looking into Ford or Chrysler, but I'm betting both of them are in about the same boat. Shael
| "The best wine lies at the bottom of the pail/And Happiness lies below the navel." - Drukpa Kunley, "The Divine Madman of the Dragon Lineage" and "Saint of 5,000 Women". |
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